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2024-12-13 05:33:48

The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Long-term direction: real estate, kitchen appliances, chicken raising, food, zinc, good free cash flow, high dividends, high dividends, and growth (don't blindly pursue high dividends, be wary of varieties with high dividends and low dividends, and wait for the callback to stabilize and intervene).At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.


Good is coming! Xinhua news agency once again issued a heavy signal! The policy is expected to strengthen.Different from previous weekends, this weekend's news revealed several important signals, which will drive the market to become more and more mature. The market finally ushered in a new breakthrough on Friday, and a new market will be launched.Penalties for violations of laws and regulations have increased, driving the market to be more standardized.


On the evening of December 7th, Xinhua News Agency published an article "What do you think about the steady growth of monetary policy-the fifth question and answer on China's current economy". The article is concise, and the future monetary policy will continue to intensify counter-cyclical regulation and control, continuously improve the accuracy and effectiveness of supporting the real economy, and create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and structural optimization and adjustment.This shows that the funds in the market are recognized for such expectations, so it is definitely no problem to rely on expectations here. Naturally, it is no problem to see effective breakthroughs. Unless there is nothing beyond expectations at the meeting, the market may fall back into the triangle arrangement again, otherwise it will continue to be optimistic.Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.

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